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MarketSmart All-Weather Portfolio

 

The MarketSmart All-Weather Portfolio service points out a series of trades every month that should generate around $200 to $1,000 in cash each. There will usually be three sets of two cash-generating credit spread trades that should produce from $1,000 to $4,000 total. One set of trades is designed for an up market, another for a flat market and a final set for a down market. Using your outlook on where the market is headed, you can pick a set of trades consistent with your insights. Since these are credit spreads if the stock does not go against us there is no closing transaction. You get your money up front on the day of the initial trade. This is a great way see the types of trades that can build the cash position in your portfolio.

Since this portfolio uses option credit spreads, the trades cost no money but generate cash in your portfolio. Using sophisticated computer models we hunt down the trades with the highest return and the lowest risk.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 6
Capital Requirements: $20,000 to $80,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 6 to 10.
Recent Holdings:  AAPL, XOM, MCD, GE, GIS

Flat Market Trades (Conservative Put Spreads)

Month
Capital at Risk
Cash Return
% Return For the Month
November '08
$10,190
$2,310
22.7%
December '08
$10,750
$(1,180)
-10.6%
January '09
$8,850
$1,150
13.0%
February '09
$8,950
$1,050
11.7%
March '09
$8,600
$1,400
16.3%
April '09
$8,800
$1,200
13.6%
May '09*
$8,860
$1,140*
12.9%*
June '09*
$8,400
$1,600*
19.0%*
Total To Date
$8,670
11.7%
Max. Capital at Risk
$20,940
$8,670
41.4%
Avg. Capital at Risk
$16,968
$8,670
51.1%

Up Market Trades (Aggressive Put Spreads)

Month
Capital at Risk
Cash Return
% Return For the Month
November '08
$8,400
$4,100
48.8%
December '08
$8,590
$1,910
22.2%
January '09
$8,200
$1,800
22.0%
February '09
$7,950
$2,050
25.8%
March '09
$7,820
$2,180
27.9%
April '09
$6,550
$1,450
22.1%
May '09*
$7,950
$2,050*
25.8%*
June '09*
$6,320
$2,180*
30.5%*
Total To Date
$17,720
28.7%
Max. Capital at Risk
$16,990
$17,720
104.3%
Avg. Capital at Risk
$12,650
$17,720
140.1%

Down Market Trades (Bearish Call Spreads)

Month
Capital at Risk
Cash Return
% Return For the Month
November '08
$9,320
$1,780
19.1%
December '08
$10,650
$(690)
-6.5%
January '09
$7,800
$2,200
28.2%
February '09
$8,700
$1,300
14.9%
March '09
$8,480
$(820)
(9.7)%*
April '09
$6,200
$600
9.7%*
May ‘09*
$7,950
$940*
10.4%*
June ‘09*
$6,320
$1,120*
19.4%*
Total To Date
$6,530
9.8%
Max. Capital at Risk
$19,470
$6,530
33.5%
Avg. Capital at Risk
$13,476
$6,530
48.5%

* Still open, subject to change

 

Ultra-Conservative Income Portfolio

Every month the Ultra-Conservative Income Portfolio service identifies new conservative covered call trades on solid underlying stocks. Each initial trade has target duration of 60 to 150 days and target return of up to 10% or more. This service uses sold call options that are in-the-money to provide substantial downside protection and to generate cash returns. The objective of this service is to generate additional cash income that beats the current annualized Certificate of Deposit return rate by up to four times or more. To achieve this goal, a series of follow-on trades involving repeated cash generating sold calls will be executed to provide a stream of periodic cash flows in addition to any actual dividends paid out on the stock.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 8
Capital Requirements: $10,000 to $100,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 1 to 2 (plus roll-out orders)
Recent Holdings:  WWMT, AAPL, GILD

Portfolio Performance:
Since the positions expire anywhere from two to twenty-four months from the time we place them, they are based on current stock prices and dividend rates. Because of the varying expiration dates, changing dividend rates, and fluctuating stock prices, results may change so refer back to this page to keep tabs on portfolio performance. And... We have to say this because it's true... Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. This is the stock market, anything can happen.

Quarter
Capital Required
Projected Cash Return
Through Expiration
Projected % Return
Through Expiration
4th Quarter '08*
$14,868
$1,827
12.3%
1st Quarter '09*
$10,452
$548
5.2%
2nd Quarter '09*
$1,814
$186
10.3%
Return on
Max. Capital
$27,134
$2,561
9.4%
Return on
Avg. Capital
$15,089
$2,561
17.0%

* portfolio still open - returns estimated and subject to change

 

ETF Covered Call Plus Portfolio

Every month the ETF Covered Call Plus Portfolio service points out a series of covered call trades along with a companion series of hedged trades using the same underlying ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) requiring much less capital. The goal is for each trade to generate at least a 5% return over 60 to 180 days (for comparison purposes 15% to 30% annualized) even if the underlying ETF drops in price. Only underlying ETFs with reasonably strong technicals will be used. At or near option expiration either the ETF will be called away, the call option we own will be executed, or the sold option will be "rolled" to a month farther out in time to capture more cash for the portfolio. For the covered call trades usually there is no closing transaction required while the hedged trades may require follow-on trades to maximize returns. Using sophisticated computer models we hunt down the trades with the highest return and the lowest risk.

This is a great way see the types of trades that can rely on solid diversified ETFs to produce double-digit annual returns while reducing overall risk of holding stock and conserving your investment funds. The Covered Call table below assumes a minimum of 100 shares and one option contract for each trade. Since the actual number of shares traded will probably vary, the covered call table only shows an average return rate for the portfolio assuming equal numbers of shares for each transaction.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 6
Capital Requirements: $5,000 to $50,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 4 to 8
Recent Holdings:  SMH, USO, DBA, XLB

Portfolio Performance:
Because of the varying expiration dates for equity options, follow on option revenues or costs, stock price fluctuations, and other market related items these results may change. So refer back to this page to keep tabs on portfolio performance. Even thought these portfolios are divided up into months the positions are actually in place for many months so do not view the returns shown as returns over a one month period. In some cases these portfolio positions may remain in place for up to or over one year. And... We have to say this because it's true... Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. This is the stock market, anything can happen.

ETF Covered Call Trades
Amount Invested
Target Cash Return
Target Return
October '08*
* $5,398
* $602
* 11.2%
November '08
$3,702

$398

10.8%
December '08*
* $8,176
* $1,124
* 13.7%
January '09*
* $8,040
* $1,185
* 14.7%
February '09*
* $9,284
* $516
* 5.6%
March '09*
* $2,908
* $192
* 6.6%
April '09*
* $8,525
* $575
* 6.7%
May '09*
* $4,113
* $287
6.9%
June '09*
* $4,778
* $322
* 6.7%
Return on Max. at Risk*
* $43,400
* $5,421
* 12.5%
Hedged Trades
Amount Invested
Target Cash Return
Target Return
October '08
$23,000
$1,970
8.6%
November '08
$16,000
$2,000
12.5%
December '08
$40,050
$(12,450)
(38.1)%
January '09
$40,050
$4,950
12.4%
February '09
$51,750
$7,850
6.3%
March '09 *
* $10,000
* $1,000
* 10.0%
April '09
$24,800
$2,350
9.5%
May '09*
* $18,100
* $1,900
* 10.5%
June '09*
* $18,600
* $1,900
* 10.2%
Return on Max. at Risk*
* $140,000
* $18,470
* 13.2%

* portfolio still open - returns include current open positions and are subject to change.

 

 

MarketSmart Perfect Trade Portfolio

The MarketSmart Perfect Trade Portfolio service points out a series of trades that have a high probability of making profits. Losses on any investment are always a real possibility but these trades are designed to generate significant cash income while preserving capital and exploiting expected moves in the market. The portfolio will show both entry and exit trades along with analysts comments. Entry and exit times for trade could vary from minutes to many months. The goal is to use hedged trades to partially protect against a potential adverse move in the stock. The plan is to capture our final profit (if any - there is always a risk of losing on these trades) we will either exit the trade before option expiration or go into expiration for an automatic clear out of the positions. Using sophisticated computer models we hunt down the trades with the highest return and the lowest risk. This is a great way see the types of investments that can produce solid returns reduce the overall risk of holding stocks while conserving your investment funds.


Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 6
Capital Requirements: $5,000 to $30,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 2 to 4.
Recent Holdings:  IBM, CVX, GS, ADBE

Month
Cash
Return
% Return
February '08
$550
5.8%
March '08
$1,300
14.4%
April '08
$1,000
11.1%
May '08
$(1,250)
(10.8%)
June '08
$(1,500)
(16.7%)
July '08
$1,150
8.3%
August '08
$1,300
9.5%
September '08
$(8,300)
(45.4)%
October '08
$(11,900)
(91.5)%
November '08
$(6,900)
(52.1)%
December '08
$1,450
13.1%
January '09
$1,200
10.6%
February '09
$1,300
11.6%
March '09
$(700)
(6.5)%
April '09
$1,400
13.2%
May '09 *
$2,550
14.6%
June '09 *
$1,550
19.5%
Total
$(15,800)
(56.3)%
2008 Total
$(23,100)
(72.5)%
2009 Total
$7,300
26.0%

* Portfolio still open - returns include current open positions and are subject to change.


 

MarketSmart 10% Hedged Portfolio


The MarketSmart 10% Hedged Portfolio service points out a series of trades every month with the goal of generating a 10% return if the stock rises, stays flat, or even drops by up to 10%. Usually three to five very conservative debit spread trades. Since these trades have an initial debit (amount you pay), that debit is the most you can lose on the trade. This is a great way to see the types of trades that can act as substitutes for holding stock. The idea is to take a hedged position in the stock without putting all the money out. The strategy at the core of this portfolio should help you preserve capital, reduce risk, and make index beating returns.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 6
Capital Requirements:
$5,000 to $35,000
Number of Trades Per Month:
3 to 5
Recent Holdings:
AAPL, ATI, KR and TGT

Month
Cash
Return
% Return
April '08
$2,000
12.9%
May ‘08
$1,750
11.1%
June ‘08
($1,550)
-17.1%
July '08
$1,500
13.6%
August ‘08
$3,050
-22.7%
September ‘08
($13,400)
-84.3%
October '08
($8,400)
-53.3%
November '08
$2,200
12.4%
December '08
$2,000
11.1%
January '09
$1,250
8.0%
February ‘09
$150
1.4%
March ‘09
$2,400
13.6%
April ‘09
$2,500
14.3%
May '09*
$2,250*
14.8%*
June '09*
$2,150*
14.0%*
Total
(6,250)*
-17.5%*
2008 Return on Max Capital
$(16,950)
-47.3%
2009 Return on Max Capital
$10,700*
30.5%

* Portfolio still open - returns include current open positions and are subject to change.



Conservative Covered Call Plus Portfolio - Click Here for more Info or to Subscribe


Every month the Conservative Covered Call Plus Portfolio service points out a series of covered call trades along with a companion series of hedged trades using the same underlying stocks requiring much less capital. The goal is for each trade to generate at least a 5% return over 60 to 180 days even if the underlying stock drops in price. Only underlying stocks with reasonably strong technicals will be used. At or near option expiration either the stock will be called away, the call option we own will be executed, or the sold option will be "rolled" to a month farther out in time to capture more cash for the portfolio. For the covered call trades usually there is no closing transaction required while the hedged trades may require follow-on trades to maximize returns. Using sophisticated computer models we hunt down the trades with the highest return and the lowest risk.

This is a great way see the types of trades that can rely on solid stocks to produce double-digit annual returns while reducing overall risk of holding the stock and conserving your investment funds.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 7
Capital Requirements: $10,000 to $100,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 4 to 8
Recent Holdings: INTC, VZ, MCD, and CVS

Covered Call
Trades
 
Amount Invested
Target Cash Return
Target
Return
July '05
$5,000
$250
5.0%
August '05
$8,505
$304
3.6%
September '05
$5,528
$305
5.5%
 October '05
$3,057
$209
6.8%
November '05
$8,215
$551
6.7%
December '05
$2,751
$205
7.5%
January '06
$6,398
$402
6.3%
February '06
$7,391
$543
7.3%
March '06
$7,606
$513
6.7%
April '06
$7,625
$390
5.2%
May '06
$6,141
$417
6.8%
June '06
$11,659
$789
6.8%
July '06
$6,944
$423
6.1%
August '06
$5,991
$409
6.8%
September '06
$7,385
$500
6.8%
October '06
$3,737
($242)
-6.5%
November '06
$5,461
$327
6.0%
December '06
$7,917
$460
5.8%
January '07
$7,382
$443
6.0%
February '07
$7,418
($3,905)
-52.6%
March '07*
$6,204
$454
7.3%
April '07
$11,977
$727
6.1%
May '07
$8,295
$525
6.3%
June '07
$8,908
$833
9.4%
July '07*
$7,346
$578
7.9%
August '07
$8,374
$600
7.2%
September '07
$7,295
$544
7.5%
October '07
$5,245
$308
5.9%
November '07
$5,176
$335
6.5%
December '07*
$6,625
$480
7.2%
January '08*
$7,569
$511
6.8%
February '08*
$12,157
$822
6.8%
March '08
$4,453
$311
7.0%
April '08*
$8,920
$526
5.9%
May '08*
$9,995
$442
4.4%
June '08*
$7,664
$593
7.7%
July '08*
$7,068
$495
7.0%
August '08*
$5,687
$403
7.1%
September '08*
$4,460
$420
9.4%
October '08*
$5969
$531
8.9%
November '08*
$7,325
$477
6.5%
December '08*
$8,172
$724
8.9%
January '09*
$5,903
$632
10.7%
February '09*
$5,206
$464
8.9%
March '09
$7,523
$477
6.3%
April '09
$5,019
$381
7.6%
Return on Max Invested*
$76,843
$16,886
22.0%

Hedged Trades
Amount Invested
Target Cash Return
Target
Return
July '05
$21,300
$1,600
7.5%
August '05
$23,400
($6,200)
-26.5%
September '05
$25,900
$1,900
7.3%
October '05
$18,400
$1,950
10.6%
November '05
$22,900
$2,800
12.2%
December '05
$16,650
$1,300
7.8%
January '06
$26,200
$2,550
9.7%
February '06
$25,750
$1,950
7.6%
March '06
$26,200
$2,000
7.6%
April '06
$25,850
$3,600
13.9%
May '06
$19,350
$450
2.3%
June '06
$27,900
$3,100
11.1%
July '06
$30,500
$1,950
6.4%
August '06
$26,250
$1,650
6.3%
September '06
$26,300
$1,600
6.1%
October '06
$26,700
($3,600)
-13.5%
November '06
$25,150
$2,550
10.1%
December '06
$28,200
$2,650
9.4%
January '07
$25,950
$2,200
8.5%
February '07
$23,350
($7,550)
-32.3%
March '07
$26,000
$150
0.6%
April '07
$28,400
$2,250
7.9%
May '07
$23,700
$2,150
9.1%
June '07
$22,150
($6,600)
-29.8%
July '07
$26,150
$2,200
8.4%
August '07
$25,690
$3,010
11.7%
September '07
$28,450
$2,700
9.5%
October '07
$25,900
$1,700
6.6%
November '07
$25,700
$2,450
9.5%
December '07
$26,050
($14,450)
-55.5%
January '08
$23,100
($16,600)
-71.9%
February '08
$25,650
$2,350
9.2%
March '08
$26,200
$2,050
7.8%
April '08
$22,200
$1,900
8.6%
May '08
$25,600
$2,400
9.4%
June '08
$22,400
$250
1.1%
July '08*
$23,500
$2,500
10.6%
August '08*
$20,700
($200)
-1.0%
September '08*
$23,000
$2,800
12.2%
October '08*
$18,650
$1,350
7.2%
November '08*
$22,850
$4,900
21.4%
December '08*
$23,450
$2,100
9.0%
January '09*
$21,100
$3,000
14.2%
February '09*
$25,650
$2,250
9.9%
March '09
$23,100
$1,900
8.2%
April '09
$20,450
$2,050
10.0%
Return on Max Invested*
$159,050
$25,460
16.0%

* portfolio still open - returns include current open positions and are subject to change.



3-Way Managed Risk Portfolio - Click Here for more Info or to Subscribe


The 3-Way Managed Risk Portfolio points out a series of trades every month with the goal of generating a 5% return over a 30 to 90 day period. These investments are set up to manage capital risk, stock price risk, and time risk. We typically use three to five very conservative debit spread trades. Since these trades have an initial debit (amount you pay), that debit is the most you can lose on the trade. This is a great way to see the types of trades that can act as substitutes for holding stock. The idea is to take a hedged position in the stock without putting all the money out. The strategy at the core of this portfolio should help you preserve capital, reduce risk, and make index beating returns.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 7
Monthly Capital Requirements: $6,000 to $35,000
Number of Trades Per Month: 4 to 12
Recent Holdings: ADBE, ADM, and ADP

Monthly Subscription Cost: $99.95

Portfolio Month
Projected
Cash Return
% Return for Month
June '03
$7,500
27.80%
 July '03
 $6,350
17.00%
 August '03
$9,350
21.70%
 September '03
$15,050
27.50%
 October '03
$5,900
18.70%
November '03
($2,200)
-6.20%
December '03
$3,800
9.80%
January '04
$2,250
7.20%
February '04
$4,800
13.40%
March '04
$5,600
15.70%
April '04
$6,050
14.70%
May '04
$4,250
11.70%
June '04
$6,150
19.30%
July '04
($500)
(1.50%)
August '04
($5,650)
(9.70%)
September '04
($4,850)
(8.30%)
October '04
($2,900)
(7.70%)
November '04
$3,850
9.40%
December '04
($14,350)
(30.0%)
January '05
$3,400
6.60%
February '05
$1,600
6.20%
March '05
$2,100
5.40%
April '05
$8,300
18.80%
May '05
($1,750)
(3.40%)
June '05
$400
0.8%
July '05
$3,600
9.20%
August '05
$150
0.4%
September '05
$2,650
9.4%
October '05
$3,600
8.0%
November '05
$5,850
12.90%
December '05
$1,150
3.1%
January '06
$4,050
7.9%
February '06
$4,650
8.9%
March '06
($250)
(0.7%)
April ‘06
$2,250
4.0%
May ‘06
($4,700)
(14.0%)
June ‘06
($2,500)
(4.90%)
July ‘06
$5,500
11.3%
August ‘06
$(8,300)
-20.6%
September ‘06
$2,600
6.8%
October ‘06
$6,000
12.9%
November ‘06
$5,850
13.6%
December ‘06
$(9,650)
-38.5%
January ‘07
$750
1.9%
February ‘07
$(10,450)
-29.0%
March ‘07
$5,000
10.7%
April ‘07
$(4,650)
-14.3%
May ‘07
$2,500
8.8%
June ‘07
$3,400
7.5%
July ‘07
$(600)
-1.5%

August ‘07

$4,000
10.9%
September ‘07
$3,000
5.7%
October ‘07
($32,500)
-63.00%
November ‘07
$(5,150)
-11.5%*
December ‘07
$5,200
11.8%*
January ‘08
($18,150)
-46.50%*
February ‘08
$6,200
15.5%
March ‘08
$3,250
11.5%
April ‘08
$1,750
6.1%
May ‘08
($6,450)
-22.00%
June ‘08
($7,600)
-38.50%
July '08
($8,150)
-28.00%
August '08
$2,750
13.8%
September '08
$5,000
15.1%*
October '08
$3,250
16.9%*
November '08
$750
17.6%*
December '08
$2,100
6.3%*
January '08
$1,750
5.26%*
Total To Date (cumulative)
$44,150
1.69%
2003 Total (cumulative)
$45,750
17.68%
2004 Total (cumulative)
$4,700
1.0%
2005 Total (cumulative)
$31,050
6.2%
2006 Total (cumulative)
$5,500
1.1%
2007 Total (cumulative)
($29,500)
-5.90%
2008 Total (cumulative)
($15,300)
-4.7%


Dividends Plus Portfolio - Click Here for more Info or to Subscribe


A series of trades every month that should generate around a 10% to 20% annual return including dividends. The goal is to use hedged trades on dividend paying stocks that protect against a potential drop in the stock of up to 25%. There will usually be from two to five trades a month. Only underlying stocks with reasonably strong technicals will be used and the plan is that at option expiration, either the stock will be called away or the option will be "rolled" farther out in time to capture more cash for the portfolio and further hedge the position. Since these are covered call trades there is usually no closing transaction required. Using sophisticated computer models, we hunt down the trades with the highest return and the lowest risk.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 8
Capital Requirements:
$5,000 to $100,000
Number of Trades Per Month:
2 to 5
Recent Holdings: STX, AMAT, TIF, and TAP
Quarter
Projected Cash
Return Through Expiration
Projected % Return Through Expiration
Downside Protection
1Q03
$ 2,817
14.2%
26%
2Q03
$ 3,428
11.2%
15%
3Q03
$ 2,748
15.6%
20%
4Q03
$ 4,594
11.4%
14%
1Q04
$ 3,008
10.8%
13%
2Q04
$ 3,209
9.2%
12%
3Q04
$ 2,758
16.1%
22%
4Q04
$ 2,986
14.3%
23%
1Q05
$ 2,011
4.2%
12%
2Q05
$ 2,907
7.2%
15%
3Q05
$ 6,591
12.9%
14%
4Q05
$ 5,707
14.6%
19%
1Q06
$ 3,818
16.4%
19%
2Q06
$3,087
5.8%
20%
3Q06
$ 3,703
8.2%
18%
4Q06
$ 3,075
6.4%
18%
1Q07
$ (4,706)
(16.1)%
17%
2Q07
$ (11,252)
(26.9)%
11%
3Q07
$ (6,303)
(18.4)%
22%
4Q07
$ (10,484)
(29.1)%
19%
1Q08
$ (19,562)
(43.4)%
23%
2Q08
$ (9,786)
(29.9)%
22%
3Q08*
$ 6,626
17.2%
21%
4Q08*
$ 3,736
16.2%
17%
1Q09*
$ 3,804
13.1%
16%
2Q09*
$ 1,135
14.4%
20%
Total
$7,837
2.80%
17%

* Portfolio still open - returns include current open positions and are subject to change.


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A series of option credit spread trades that should generate several thousand dollars in cash. Although Investors Observer updates and maintains this page, the trades are identified, researched, and tracked by a professional hedge fund manager who remains anonymous so he doesn't upset the investors who pay big bucks for him to manage their money. For the details on how this portfolio came about click here. These are credit spreads so normally there is no closing transaction. You get your money up front on the day of the initial trade.

Relative Risk (1-10 -> 1= Highest risk): 3
Capital Requirements: $5,000 to $40,000
Number of Trades Per Quarter: 4 to 12
Recent Holdings: MMM, FCX, APA and JPM

Monthly Subscription Cost: $99.95

Quarter
Cash Return
% Return for Quarter
1st Quarter '03
$ 4,050
20.03%
2nd Quarter '03
$ 2,300
7.10%
3rd Quarter '03
 $ 3,400
 8.10%
4th Quarter '03
$ 950
4.80%
1st Quarter '04
 $ 0
 0%
2nd Quarter '04
($6,050)
(20.17%)
3rd Quarter '04
$2,550
22.67%
4th Quarter '04
$3,150
17.0%
1st Quarter '05
$7,150
25.40%
2nd Quarter '05
$9,750
36.3%
3rd Quarter '05
$3,650
20.9%
4th Quarter '05
$6,050