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Double
digit returns with simulated CDs

WHAT
CAN YOU DO WITH ALL THAT CASH?
A
big check came in from my bank today. Normally that would
be a good thing but the check is from a CD (Certificate of Deposit)
I invested in last year. I was receiving over a 7% return
on the money but now the highest one year CD rate I can find are
so low it barely pays for the stamp. Money markets are paying
less than 2%. And Corporate Bonds… If you can get one with a reasonable
risk rating the return is under 4%.
What’s
an investor to do?
Read
on to learn how to create a Simulated CD with over 10% return…
Now
back to the steps to create a Simulated CD.
First
of all… You need to keep a portion of your portfolio in safe,
fairly liquid investments to be sure you have some emergency cash
on hand. You know, if the roof starts to leak.
Why
do we like CDs? Only one reason I can think of… They’re government
insured for up to $100,000. There is nothing safer that know
of… But the paltry returns will put you in the poor house.
That’s
where something I call a “Simulated CD” comes in. And January is
a great month to put this strategy to work.
You
can’t simulate the iron clad safety of a CD but you sure can blow
away the returns and retain some safety using the following strategy:
1.
Pick a stock you think is pretty solid. Let’s use XYZ (Our
favorite fictitious stock) for example.
2.
Set a one year price target for the stock. XYZ is now trading
at around $64 so a one year price target of $74 (15% increase) would
probably not be unreasonable. Last year the stock went from $30
to $67 (123% increase).
3.
Pick a comfortable price floor for the stock for one year from now.
A reasonable price that the stock will probably not drop below.
I don’t think XYZ should drop below say $40 by Jan ’03.
4.
Buy the stock and sell the January LEAP (covered call option) at
your acceptable price floor. You are committing to sell
the stock for the LEAP Strike price next January.
For
the XYZ example here’s how the numbers work out:
You
buy XYZ for $64 a share and sell the JAN’03 40 LEAP for $30 a share.
The cost to you is $34 (64-30=34) a share for the stock and you
have committed to sell it for $40 a share on January 18, 2003.
If the stock does not drop below $40 a share between now and then
your return on this investment would be 17.6% [ (40-34)/34) ] over
the period. That compares very well to the current CD rates
and you don’t need to do anything else for the investment until
the Monday after January expiration when the XYZ stock will disappear
and $40 a share will automatically drop into your brokerage account.
On the risk side… XYZ would have to fall below $34 for you to lose
money on this. Is XYZ’s price going to drop 47% this year?
And
unlike a CD where you pay significant penalties if you need your
money sooner than maturity, with this type of investment you can
“unwind” the position any time if you need the cash. Depending
on market conditions you may or may not make a profit if you try
to close this investment early.
WARNING
#1: There are risk involved with this kind of investment if the
stock drops like a stone you could lose your original investment.
It is critical that you choose stocks that are solid.
WARNING
#2: Don’t spend all the money you should make with this strategy
in one place. Invest it in a nice gift for your spouse. How
about a book from our book store?
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All stocks and options shown
are examples only. These are not recommendations to buy or sell
any security. The examples above do not take into account your trade
size, brokerage commissions or taxes which will effect actual
investment returns. Stocks and options involve risk and are not
suitable for all investors and investing in options carries
substantial risk. Prior to buying or selling options, a person must
receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options
available at http://www.cboe.com/Resources/Intro.asp.
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