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I think I might need a drink. And it has nothing to do with the performance of the February 17th trade. It might be because I have watched too much TV news. In February, we looked at the stimulus bill that the government was passing and were a little skeptical on the size of it and the effect it would have. It is not uncommon for people to hit the bars after a hard day at work to help drown their sorrows and there has certainly been a little to be sorrowful about in the last few months. Unemployment remains high, government spending is growing, regulations are increasing and the capitalists are clinging to their guns, alcohol and religion, wondering how long before Nancy Pelosi will have them doing yoga and eating organic yogurt. Certainly, the new administration has gotten some things done; but the jury is still out over whether they will work.

It has been a little while since the stimulus bill was passed. On February 17, we expressed a little skepticism on how much money the government was spending. Since then, the economy has remained troubled. The market has certainly gone up some, but still concerns us. We were surprised by just how little of the stimulus money has been spent. As of May 5 th, only 28 billion of that money has been spent. Now, I am not surprised that the wheels of government turn slowly, but with the government handing the money out to other government projects that are already planned, it is a little amazing that more of the money couldn't have been spent faster. For those who are bad at math, that 28 billion is only 3.5% of the money. It might have been easier to just give each of the Senators about 7 billion cash in suitcases and take it back to their home states to fund the needed pet projects! By the time a lot of this stimulus money gets out there, the economy will have recovered by its own right. Maybe the treasury folks could pull a few all-nighters and get the money out while the economy still needs it.

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Peter is the lead analyst for the Investors Keyhole daily service. Although several analysts contribute to the reports issued throughout the trading day, he is the last one to see them before they are let out of our office into the light of day.

Peter is a numbers man who focuses on the type of investments that minimize risk while maximizing returns. He always likes to stay ahead of the pack and he uses all the information resources available to him to make the best investment decisions possible.

Investors Keyhole reports are short and to the point and that’s why we gave Peter this space to share his weekly insights, tips, strategies, and thoughts on subjects that can help you invest smarter.